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Netflix May Be Changing Its Mind On Theatrical Runs
A few weeks ago, Netflix shocked many Hollywood insiders by securing more Emmy nominations than HBO. Now, the streaming giant is reportedly setting its sights on The Academy Awards, which has left many in the know wondering what that may mean for the pesky theatrical window problem the theater industry and Netflix have battled over since Beasts Of No Nation was released back in 2015. No one is speaking on the record yet, but sources close to the situation are saying Netflix execs may be warming up to the idea of longer theatrical runs for some of its movies.
Much of the chatter revolves around two upcoming movies: Alfonso Cuaron's Roma and Paul Greengrass' 22 July. Each is considered a possible Oscar contender, and according to The Hollywood Reporter, both directors are pushing for more than just the minimum New York and Los Angeles qualifying theatrical run needed to be eligible for awards. But will they get their way? That's an interesting question, and it could have huge long-term repercussions for the industry.
It all revolves around the so-called theatrical window. In short, movie theaters want as long as possible between when a movie is released and when people are able to consume the film inside their own homes, whether it be through On Demand, Blu-ray or a streaming service. Netflix, on the other hand, wants films to be released on its streaming service and in theaters on the same day, giving viewers the option of how they'd like to watch it. Many of the larger theater chains won't show films that don't have minimum theatrical windows. So, that means Netflix either needs to change its approach or it needs to seek out smaller arthouse-type theaters that may not have hard and fast rules.
For the past few years, Netflix has partnered with Landmark and iPic to rent out screens to show its movies. The company hasn't reported any of the theatrical grosses from any of the runs, and those runs have typically ended very quickly. Netflix has already announced Roma will be release day-and-date, meaning it'll be on the streaming service the same day as in theaters. So, for that title, the only change would likely be an expanded partnership with iPic and Landmark to include more screens throughout more of the country for a longer period of time. What exactly will happen to 22 July is still unclear.
Amazon has, over the past few years, taken the exact opposite approach. It has reached out to theaters and struck agreements to delay the streaming release of its films in order to book better and more exclusive theaters. The approach worked for Manchester By The Sea, which won multiple Academy Awards and also for The Big Sick, which netted and Oscar nomination and more than $50M at the box office.
In the long run, movie theaters aren't going away and neither are streaming services. It's in everyone's best interest for some kind of deal to be worked out. We all would prefer to watch some types of movies on the big screen and some types of movies at home, but with so much at stake, it could be awhile before all the parties decide what they can live with. Unfortunately for Netflix, if it waits too long, it could miss out on some Oscar noms from voters who refuse to vote for anything they can't see in theaters.
The latest tracking is in for the upcoming spinoff, and Men in Black International is headed toward a $40 million opening weekend. People with access to the early tracking data, as well as individuals at Sony Pictures, are both pegging F. Gary Gray's Men in Black International to open at $40 million, according to The Hollywood Reporter .
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Box office estimates have started to roll in ahead of The Predator's September release, and it looks like the film could open strong in the $30 million range. According to a new report from Variety , it looks like The Predator is eyeing a respectable opening weekend in the range of $25-30 million in its opening weekend.
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This fact is not lost on director James Wan, who admits that he's just as curious to see how his film does at the box office as fans and pundits. Continue reading Yes, Even James Wan Is Worried How 'Aquaman' Will Fare At The Box Office Against 'Mary Poppins' & 'Bumblebee' at The Playlist.
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Fans want to know what the next Star Wars movie is going to be called, and it turns out so do the people who work for Lucasfilm. Pablo Hidalgo, a member of the Lucasfilm Story Group, recently admitted on Twitter that, while he may be on the "inside" of many Star Wars decisions, he has no idea what the name of the final episode of the trilogy is called.
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Information about Toy Story 4 has been slowly trickling out, with the latest update revealing that Annie Potts' Bo Peep would be returning, and rocking a brand new look. The generations of fans are eager to catch up with Bo after her she was written out of Toy Story 3, but PETA is taking umbrage with the character.
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